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Febrero 14, 2007 Nothing to worry about
This is the main idea transmitted in the Fed Chairman Bernanke's Senate Banking Testimony. Ben Bernanke presented a rosy picture of the US economy. Growth slightly below trend, housing sector correction not to worry about and inflation in control though still needs some “vigilance”. Overall a more dovish statement than expected and no rate cuts/increases in the horizon. On inflation, the Fed foresees a "gradual ebbing" of core inflation. “Overall inflation has fallen, in large part as a result of declines in the price of crude oil. Readings on core inflation--that is, inflation excluding the prices of food and energy--have improved modestly in recent months.” On growth we will see a very small weakness. “The U.S. economy appears to be making a transition from the rapid rate of expansion experienced over the preceding several years to a more sustainable average pace of growth.” On the housing sector, risks have faded away. “The principal source of the ongoing moderation has been a substantial cooling in the housing market, which has led to a marked slowdown in the pace of residential construction. However, the weakness in housing market activity and the slower appreciation of house prices do not seem to have spilled over to any significant extent to other sectors of the economy.” And on the labor market, the trend is strong. “The labor market is expected to stay healthy, and real incomes should continue to rise, although the pace of employment gains may be slower than that to which we have become accustomed in recent years”. Good news for the world economy. Hope all this becomes true. Attached full text of testimony. Posted on 14 Febrero 2007 in Financial Markets Trackback PingsTrackBack URL for this entry: CommentsMr. Bernanke is too confident given current trends in the US Economy. I f we have a glance at the industrial production index, released today, we see the firt signs of weakeness in the economy. Posted by: Jorge Fabra at Febrero 15, 2007 11:04 PM Post a comment |
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