Marzo 16, 2007   

Mortgage problems might extend to Europe:


Juan Toro

The US sub-prime mortgage market is facing ups and downs. This is unraveling in the form of: higher delinquency rates, defaults of many of the owners, more than one million people losing their homes, banks owning bad debts (debt collaterized on the faulty home loans), reassesment of risk,… There has been a regulation problem by which many lenders have been allowed to give too easy conditions on loan requests from people that were not able to repay, the so called teaser loans. Regulatory bodies have already step in to cut this and some politicians are even posing the possibility of the Government bailing out many of those losing their houses.

The sub-prime mortgage problem is not just limited to the US. Many other countries have embraced this lenient mortgages market at the time when real state prices were touching price bubble conditions. In the UK it takes the form of non-conforming mortgages, and people are now reviewing the state of this market.

Some of the UK sub-prime mortgage lenders are drawing from reserves to attend increasing delinquency rates. Southern Pacific and Rooftop Mortgages are two of these non-conforming lenders that have been touched by 90 days arrears (debt which is overdue after missing an expected payment). These two companies are owned by Lehman Brothers and Bearns Stearn respectively, two investment banks that seems to hold a large amount of mortgage backed residuals in the US. Hence the usual suspect have been touched.

People claim that the non-conforming mortgage market in the UK has not been as sloppy as in the US. In the UK the equity stake in half of the loans has been generally over 20% (in the US borrowing 120 % of the value of the house was not strange). However, this might mean little if the bubble run has been higher in the UK. You borrow less in a more overinflated market. Still Britons are drawing cash out of their houses (home equity) and this can lead people into trouble when the value of the collateral decreases. It all can roll together: lower home equity, lower consumption, higher unemployment, worse loans…


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Posted on 16 Marzo 2007 in Financial Markets

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Comments

I too agree with you that the sub-prime mortgage problem is not just limited to the US. Many other countries have embraced this lenient mortgages market at the time when real state prices were touching price bubble conditions. In the UK it takes the form of non-conforming mortgages, and people are now reviewing the state of this market.

i really liked your expressive ideas. Keep up the good work. Thanks a lot for providing us all the information.

Posted by: Max Ray at Noviembre 26, 2008 07:38 AM

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